Dream vs Sun WNBA Tonight Odds, Picks & Predictions

We’re again with one other WNBA betting preview, and this time we will break up the Atlanta Dream versus the Connecticut Solar. Atlanta is 7-6 within the 12 months, however can it deal with the stifling protection of the Connecticut house? Discover out in our selections and expectations.

The Atlanta Dream is again on the highway after a five-day break visiting the Connecticut Solar, the most important group within the Jap Convention, on Wednesday.

Atlanta dropped two video games on the highway west final week, however had a superb chunk of time to relaxation and put together for a Connecticut group that hit 10-4 consecutive marks on this contest. Nevertheless, Connecticut State is shedding, and though they have not performed for Atlanta but this 12 months, they’ve received all three video games in 2021.

Listed here are WNBA free picks and predictions for Dream vs. Solar on June 15.

The percentages of a dream versus the solar

Odds by way of Covers Line, a median consisting of odds from many sports activities bets.

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Dream predictions in opposition to the solar

The predictions had been made on 6/15/2022 at 10:20 AM ET.
Click on on every prediction to go to the total evaluation.

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Dream info vs the solar

Website: Mohegan Solar Area, Uncasville, CT
Date: Wednesday 15 June 2022
warning: 7:00 p.m. Jap time
Tv: NESN +, Bally Sports activities Southeast

Dream vs Solar betting preview

Main accidents

Dream: Erica Wheeler G (out), Tiffany Hayes G (out).
Solar: Jasmine Thomas J (outdoors).
Discover our newest WNBA harm reviews.

Betting path to know

Connecticut has handed 7-15 years/much less in its final 22 homestead suites. discover extra WNBA Betting Developments For Dream vs.

Dream vs Solar picks and predictions

Our aspect and complete predictions are primarily based on our evaluation of streak and complete on this recreation. Our greatest wager is our favourite throughout all markets.

diffusion evaluation

The Solar kicked the tires on its title probabilities in a significant convention encounter with defending champion Chicago Sky on Friday, and fell in need of expectations in a 83-79 loss as the house favourite’s 6.5 factors. The Connecticut group had received 4 straight video games previous to that defeat and had an extended break from work to relaxation earlier than a really busy finish to June.

Dream will check these legs, play at a sooner tempo and run a encompass assault. Atlanta has the third-fastest tempo within the WNBA and is attempting to stretch its opponents with a lot of the offensive motion occurring away from the basket.

This contrasts with Connecticut’s recreation plan, which depends on its measurement on the within to place in roughly 39 factors within the paint per recreation, and smashes offensive glass to get loads of handicaps and second-chance scoring alternatives. Solar tops the WNBA with 27.1 discipline purpose makes an attempt 5 ft from the basket and can actually put Dream’s #1 ranked protection to the check.

Working via the earlier Atlanta rounds, we see a group that has battled a number of the league’s weakest golf equipment however cannot recover from the hump versus the elite.

Dream’s seven wins within the 12 months in opposition to enemies got here with a file 23-48 and none of those rivals presently has a profitable file, together with three wins over Indiana Fever (4-12). 5 of Atlanta’s six losses (1-5 ATS) got here in opposition to Seattle, Chicago, Washington and Las Vegas, and the group has a poor common margin of -13.6 factors in these defeats.

prediction: Solar -9.5 (-110 in PointsBet)

Covers basketball betting evaluation

Over / Beneath Evaluation

Connecticut would assault the inside, rating buckets at a excessive fee, and power Atlanta into the ball for the higher a part of the property, thus slowing the tempo of the sport and finally weakening Atlanta’s weaker aspect.

Whereas Dream’s defensive numbers could be a little bit bloated because of the stage of competitors to this point, Atlanta is working arduous to that finish and is nice at profitable a hustle and bustle and fast in protection to help. He permits the league’s lowest with 26.2 factors within the paint and eight.8 second probability factors whereas giving up fewer than eight offensive rebounds per night time.

As for his or her crime, the dream doesn’t journey that properly. They common solely 75 factors per away recreation (the second lowest) with lower than 42% shot success, and in these encounters with stronger enemies, Dream solely will get 64.8 factors. Atlanta comes off considered one of its best-scoring nights as a customer in Friday’s loss to Phoenix (shedding 90-88 and capturing 47%) however Mercury is among the many decrease tier defenses within the WNBA.

Locked throughout the Mohegan Solar Area, The Solar options an Superior Defensive score of 94.9 (third finest in the home) and permits enemies to solely rating 74.4 factors for 42% success from the bottom, together with a 30.7% suffocation fee from distance. Going again to final season, Connecticut State has topped 7-15 years/decrease in its final 22 house wards.

prediction: beneath 155.5 (-110 in PointsBet)

finest wager

Solar’s group has a complete of 82.5 factors tonight in opposition to the highest-ranked protection in opposition to it. Nevertheless, as talked about earlier, Dream’s defensive stats are padded in opposition to some decrease high quality groups.

Connecticut averaged greater than 87 factors per season — and though it solely managed 79 in a loss to Chicago final time round — it has scored 83 or extra factors in every of its earlier 4 video games. Not solely should the solar make its manner in, however as soon as the dream crumbles into the paint, Connecticut can bury enemies with highly effective hearth from outdoors the arc (WNBA 36.4% finest).

However what’s going to make Connecticut out of the highest is its capability to show protection into assault. The Solar is the very best group within the East at making cuts (16.7 per recreation) and translating these fouls into straightforward factors (the league’s highest at 21.2 turnovers).

Atlanta, however, coughs the ball the best within the league 17.7 instances per recreation and has a checkered backcourt with a loss Erica Wheeler and the brand new addition of Asia Durr. Dream solely made 5 turnovers on Friday however 15 and 22 within the earlier two video games.

All of it provides as much as plenty of extra property for a stronger house.

choose or choose: Whole solar group over 82.5 (-108 in FanDuel)

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